Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1430.140657 1663.599110 1936.418236 2282.168508 2713.547789 3240.612495 3.943700e+03
2024-12-15 1104.701595 1389.513764 1759.808292 2289.104684 3048.174573 4134.375312 5.880499e+03
2024-12-22 932.881490 1225.848405 1630.703772 2252.578068 3226.014047 4773.626760 7.617447e+03
2024-12-29 832.516679 1135.048144 1575.532352 2296.517839 3519.311012 5669.678473 1.019715e+04
2025-01-05 728.463642 1019.368241 1459.029019 2212.962507 3571.481084 6157.518814 1.225358e+04
2025-01-12 650.211627 930.195994 1367.111135 2147.468144 3632.059533 6673.314428 1.467572e+04
2025-01-19 585.091753 852.617314 1281.487120 2074.644828 3657.020800 7120.405618 1.723165e+04
2025-01-26 561.858947 838.074215 1296.345905 2183.113145 4067.606518 8585.200511 2.392521e+04
2025-02-02 534.586031 813.312113 1289.541553 2248.150632 4403.776997 10027.174176 3.220941e+04
2025-02-09 509.593306 789.363515 1280.445330 2306.046074 4740.341664 11645.474333 4.357111e+04
2025-02-16 478.424710 751.478202 1240.956788 2293.446035 4903.019069 12841.433822 5.512229e+04
2025-02-23 461.311602 736.571972 1242.455445 2368.998170 5315.844078 15111.980999 7.839043e+04
2025-03-02 443.996667 721.525830 1245.534177 2458.329404 5828.388326 18262.887437 1.213261e+05
2025-03-09 420.728627 693.596919 1220.345814 2479.324080 6162.916959 21076.666292 1.792725e+05
2025-03-16 394.222144 656.910300 1172.526807 2435.449220 6281.610859 23061.576098 2.446319e+05
2025-03-23 378.490648 639.365960 1162.460160 2485.006447 6731.746074 27259.720645 4.070529e+05
2025-03-30 352.749397 600.175842 1101.925652 2392.193859 6656.256091 28491.312165 5.280997e+05
2025-04-06 331.012978 567.278433 1051.881378 2319.745890 6635.917803 30126.527229 7.177970e+05
2025-04-13 310.613264 535.615290 1001.641699 2239.201702 6562.792165 31412.890314 9.591904e+05
2025-04-20 306.097696 535.501366 1021.662926 2359.185838 7334.418894 40143.536625 2.608548e+06
2025-04-27 298.429006 528.279385 1024.660950 2431.217357 7951.522025 49171.003115 8.084607e+06
2025-05-04 290.675872 520.243514 1024.858945 2495.396477 8575.385960 60132.216820 4.115016e+07
2025-05-11 278.926205 502.923234 1001.218179 2481.424386 8827.447588 67871.131807 2.720306e+08